Ilaoa & Toomata vs Lupe Ole Soaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+204%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilaoa & Toomata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ITO
1 - 0
VTO
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ITO
1 - 4
BLR
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 1
ITO
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ITO
0 - 2
ROP
55%
21%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
UTU
1 - 0
ITO
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lupe Ole Soaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AUC
2 - 0
SOA
94%
5%
1%
|
21 | 76 | 55 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
SOA
4 - 3
BAF
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | +6 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
SOA
0 - 6
VEN
6%
10%
83%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
TUP
0 - 0
SOA
87%
9%
5%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SOA
2 - 0
VEI
46%
22%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |