Ideal vs Micaelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
IDE
3 - 0
LUS
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
FAY
4 - 4
IDE
16%
21%
64%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
IDE
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
IDE
5 - 0
AGU
83%
12%
5%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PRA
5 - 0
IDE
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Micaelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FAY
1 - 2
MIC
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MIC
3 - 0
AGU
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PRA
0 - 0
MIC
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MIC
2 - 2
SCG
36%
25%
40%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PRA
3 - 2
MIC
65%
20%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |