Icasa vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
51.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
ICA
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ICA
3 - 2
FOR
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 0
ICA
21%
22%
57%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ICA
4 - 3
CRA
74%
17%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
2 - 2
ICA
43%
24%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 0
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 1
LIN
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BAH
2 - 2
VIT
17%
22%
61%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 1
VIT
16%
23%
61%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |