Ibarra vs CD Buzanada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CDT
0 - 0
UDI
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
UDI
3 - 1
UDL
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
UPR
2 - 1
UDI
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
UDI
1 - 1
LAN
59%
22%
20%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VSB
1 - 0
UDI
38%
25%
36%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
CD Buzanada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CDB
0 - 1
CDT
24%
26%
51%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 0
CDB
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
CDB
2 - 1
UPR
42%
27%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 1
CDB
59%
21%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CDB
2 - 0
VSB
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |