Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
12º
12º
63
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RUD
3 - 0
HDR
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HDR
0 - 4
KUS
30%
25%
46%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
HDR
0 - 3
OPA
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
DUB
2 - 1
HDR
51%
23%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
HDR
3 - 3
SOL
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VUK
3 - 0
KUS
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ZMI
1 - 2
VUK
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NKD
0 - 1
VUK
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VUK
0 - 0
NKD
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HNK
2 - 2
VUK
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |