Horsham vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
LEA
1 - 1
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
DOR
1 - 0
HOR
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
HOR
1 - 3
DAR
18%
21%
60%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
HOR
3 - 2
HAR
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
HOR
0 - 2
BOG
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CRA
5 - 1
KIN
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
KIN
4 - 1
HOR
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
KIN
2 - 4
CHE
72%
16%
11%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LEW
1 - 2
KIN
14%
19%
67%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
KIN
3 - 1
COR
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +2 |