Copa do Brasil . 1/64
Global 3-6
Horizonte vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
63.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
5 - 1
HOR
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 1
FOR
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
5 - 1
HOR
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
HOR
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 1
CEA
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 1
VAS
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DUQ
2 - 2
FLU
14%
22%
64%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
FLU
5 - 1
FRI
83%
13%
4%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 1
FLU
14%
21%
65%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FLU
0 - 3
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |