Hongg vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BAD
1 - 1
HON
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
HON
5 - 2
KRE
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GCB
1 - 0
HON
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
HON
0 - 1
WIN
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
HON
3 - 2
RAP
23%
24%
54%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
CHI
4 - 1
WIN
75%
17%
9%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SVS
1 - 2
CHI
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 1
FCZ
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MEN
0 - 2
CHI
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CHI
3 - 1
YFJ
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |