Hong Kong FC vs Kwun Tong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
WIN
3 - 2
HON
18%
20%
62%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
HON
0 - 0
WTP
40%
24%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
HON
0 - 5
KFC
29%
23%
49%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HON
6 - 1
KWA
83%
11%
6%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
HON
2 - 1
TCS
76%
14%
10%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Kwun Tong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
KWU
1 - 3
KWA
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TUE
4 - 2
KWU
22%
22%
56%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
KWU
1 - 2
DOU
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
KWU
0 - 2
WON
18%
23%
58%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
KWU
3 - 1
WIN
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |