Hong Kong FC vs Fukien AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
9.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MUT
0 - 4
HON
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
HON
3 - 1
TMS
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
KWA
1 - 4
HON
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
HON
2 - 1
BIU
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
DOU
1 - 2
HON
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fukien AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FUK
5 - 5
MUT
54%
22%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
TMS
0 - 0
FUK
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FUK
0 - 1
KWA
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
BIU
4 - 1
FUK
63%
20%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FUK
3 - 5
WIN
49%
23%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |