Honduras vs Cuba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
CUB
0 - 3
HND
21%
27%
52%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 0
HND
31%
27%
43%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
HND
0 - 2
PAN
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SLV
0 - 3
HND
27%
25%
47%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
HND
0 - 1
NZL
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
CUB
0 - 3
HND
21%
27%
52%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
PAN
1 - 0
CUB
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
CUB
0 - 1
CAN
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 0
CUB
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
JAM
3 - 0
CUB
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |