Clausura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Honduras Progreso vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
JAG
3 - 2
HNP
52%
22%
26%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
HNP
5 - 2
RDM
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
RSO
3 - 1
HNP
46%
24%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 5
OLI
19%
24%
58%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
MOT
5 - 2
HNP
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
JAG
3 - 2
HNP
52%
22%
26%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
JAG
3 - 1
VID
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
RES
1 - 1
JAG
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
JAG
0 - 0
PLA
37%
26%
38%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
JAG
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |