FC 08 Homburg vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
78.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
HOF
1 - 1
HOM
43%
25%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HOM
2 - 0
FRA
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
VFR
1 - 6
HOM
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SVS
2 - 2
HOM
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HOM
3 - 0
STE
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
STP
2 - 2
HSV
35%
25%
41%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ROS
2 - 3
STP
13%
20%
68%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
EBT
2 - 1
STP
14%
18%
68%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
STP
0 - 0
HAN
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
ELV
0 - 2
STP
25%
22%
53%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |