Holstein Kiel vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
50.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1961 |
VFR
2 - 0
HOL
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1961 |
HOL
2 - 2
HAN
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
HOL
2 - 1
BOR
60%
19%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1960 |
COH
3 - 1
HOL
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
HOL
1 - 3
ALT
67%
17%
15%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1961 |
BUR
3 - 1
HSV
79%
13%
9%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1961 |
HSV
3 - 1
LUB
89%
8%
3%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1961 |
BOR
2 - 8
HSV
28%
24%
49%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
HSV
4 - 1
BRE
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
HSV
2 - 1
BER
90%
7%
3%
|
68 | 26 | 42 | 0 |