Holstein Kiel vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
ROT
1 - 0
HOL
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
PRE
2 - 1
HOL
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
HOL
2 - 0
HAM
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
WUP
2 - 1
HOL
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
HOL
1 - 1
SGD
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
CHE
0 - 0
HAM
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
WUP
1 - 2
CHE
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CHE
0 - 1
SGD
42%
28%
31%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
STP
1 - 0
CHE
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
CHE
2 - 0
WAT
38%
26%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |