Holbæk vs Greve IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
6º
2º
27
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BRØ
1 - 1
HOL
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 1
KFU
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
KAR
2 - 2
HOL
48%
23%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
HOL
5 - 2
B19
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GVI
2 - 2
HOL
21%
20%
59%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Greve IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
KAR
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
B19
0 - 3
GRE
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GVI
1 - 1
GRE
34%
24%
43%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
TAR
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HER
1 - 6
GRE
24%
21%
56%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |