Hoek vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
7º
18º
8º
33
5º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 54 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
76% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
15º
|
76% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
STE
1 - 3
HOE
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GVV
0 - 0
HOE
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HOE
1 - 5
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 0
HOE
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
JOS
1 - 3
HOE
29%
22%
49%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 1
EXC
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
5 - 3
TER
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 1
GVV
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 2
EXC
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 2
ODI
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |