Hobart Zebras vs Launceston City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobart Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
HOB
4 - 5
SOU
31%
20%
49%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
OLY
2 - 3
HOB
20%
19%
61%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
DEV
1 - 0
HOB
39%
21%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 6
HOB
6%
12%
83%
|
33 | 8 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
HOB
4 - 1
KIN
88%
8%
4%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Launceston City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 1
LAU
82%
11%
7%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LAU
4 - 0
NOR
48%
20%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LAU
0 - 5
SOU
6%
10%
85%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
LAU
0 - 2
DEV
9%
14%
77%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CLA
2 - 2
LAU
18%
18%
64%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |