Hitchin Town vs Bedford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
GOS
0 - 0
HIT
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
HIT
1 - 2
BAN
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
AFT
2 - 2
HIT
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TON
2 - 1
HIT
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BID
3 - 2
HIT
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bedford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BED
0 - 2
WEY
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BED
0 - 1
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
STA
2 - 2
BED
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 1
BED
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BED
1 - 0
GOS
40%
25%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |