FA Trophy . 1/512
Global 1-2
Heybridge Swifts vs Thamesmead Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
THA
0 - 0
HEY
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
HEY
4 - 0
THA
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ILF
1 - 4
HEY
14%
22%
64%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
HEY
5 - 1
YEL
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
HEY
1 - 2
HAR
81%
13%
5%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Thamesmead Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
THA
0 - 0
HEY
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
THA
3 - 1
TIL
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
THA
3 - 0
WAL
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
HEY
4 - 0
THA
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
THA
1 - 1
ROM
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |