Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
FCN
2 - 1
HER
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
HER
0 - 1
COT
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
MON
3 - 1
HER
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
HER
2 - 3
BYM
26%
25%
50%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
STU
2 - 0
HER
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
ARB
1 - 0
BVB
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
AAA
2 - 0
ARB
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
M05
1 - 0
ARB
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
ARB
3 - 2
FCN
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
COT
2 - 1
ARB
42%
28%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |