Herrera vs Alcorisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
+114%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CDA
4 - 1
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
LAA
3 - 1
HER
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
MAE
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
AND
2 - 1
HER
39%
24%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
HER
4 - 0
ACF
43%
23%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alcorisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
LAA
4 - 1
ALC
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ALC
4 - 1
MAE
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
AND
2 - 2
ALC
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
ACF
38%
24%
38%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 2
ALC
14%
18%
67%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |