Hernando De Soto A vs Club Promesas Belenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
+1050%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernando De Soto A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HER
9 - 0
CDP
61%
19%
20%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CDB
4 - 0
HER
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HER
2 - 0
UDF
39%
22%
39%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
SEG
2 - 0
HER
45%
23%
32%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BIE
0 - 1
HER
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Club Promesas Belenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
CDE
4%
10%
86%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
ATH
21%
21%
58%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CDB
3 - 1
BEL
66%
17%
17%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
BEL
58%
20%
22%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 2
UDF
31%
22%
47%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |