Herkol vs KFC Eksel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
42.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
16º
11º
44
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
10º
|
46% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
61.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herkol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ZNH
3 - 0
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HER
6 - 4
HER
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ALK
2 - 1
HER
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VVZ
3 - 1
HER
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
JHF
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
KFC Eksel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
EKS
2 - 4
HEL
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAH
2 - 0
EKS
31%
22%
47%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
EKS
2 - 2
JHF
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
THA
3 - 1
EKS
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
EKS
0 - 3
BRE
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |