Herkol vs Achel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
61.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
16º
11º
67
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
10º
|
46% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
61.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herkol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HER
2 - 2
PAH
44%
23%
33%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HFC
1 - 4
HER
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
THA
4 - 0
HER
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
HER
1 - 3
MEE
65%
17%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
WEK
3 - 2
HER
60%
20%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Achel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ALK
1 - 5
ACH
9%
16%
75%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 0
HEL
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ACH
3 - 0
HER
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
WEK
2 - 4
ACH
31%
23%
47%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ACH
3 - 0
JHF
88%
9%
4%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -1 |