Herk vs Bree analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
HIH
1 - 2
HER
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
HER
1 - 2
HET
31%
22%
48%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ZON
2 - 0
HER
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -3 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ZEP
1 - 2
HER
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
BIL
3 - 3
HER
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BRE
0 - 0
BRE
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 5
BRE
70%
16%
14%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
BRE
0 - 2
BER
29%
22%
49%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 4
LAN
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 2
LUT
40%
23%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |