Hércules vs Villajoyosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 1
HER
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
HER
0 - 1
NOV
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
GIR
0 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
HER
0 - 0
YEC
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
GIM
1 - 2
HER
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Villajoyosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
VIJ
1 - 0
CAS
38%
30%
32%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
FIG
0 - 0
VIJ
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
VIJ
0 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
LOR
0 - 0
VIJ
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
VIJ
0 - 0
MLL
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |