Hércules vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
HER
1 - 2
BAD
52%
27%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
RCD
3 - 2
HER
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
OLO
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
NUC
3 - 0
HER
30%
30%
40%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
VAL
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
REC
1 - 0
CAD
56%
27%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SEV
1 - 3
REC
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
REC
0 - 1
CDB
34%
29%
37%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
YEC
2 - 0
REC
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
REC
0 - 0
MUR
46%
28%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |