Hércules vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1987 |
ELC
3 - 0
HER
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
HER
4 - 0
ATH
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
VCF
1 - 0
HER
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
XER
0 - 1
HER
36%
31%
34%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1987 |
HER
0 - 0
CEL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1987 |
REC
2 - 0
LOG
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
REC
2 - 0
VCF
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
ELC
1 - 1
REC
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
CEL
1 - 2
REC
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1987 |
REC
1 - 1
VCF
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |