Hércules vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
48.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
ZAR
1 - 1
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
HER
3 - 2
SLA
54%
27%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
FIG
1 - 0
HER
32%
29%
40%
|
78 | 40 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
FCB
6 - 0
HER
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
ATM
1 - 0
HER
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1981 |
RMA
2 - 0
SPA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
RMA
4 - 2
BET
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
RSO
3 - 1
RMA
46%
26%
28%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
SPA
0 - 0
RMA
31%
26%
44%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
RMA
3 - 0
UDL
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |