Hércules vs Lleida CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
HER
27%
28%
45%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
VAL
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
VIL
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ATB
0 - 3
HER
19%
27%
54%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
BAD
75%
18%
8%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Lleida CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LLE
0 - 3
ATB
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BAD
1 - 1
LLE
29%
29%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LLE
0 - 0
HOS
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
UES
0 - 1
LLE
31%
28%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
LLE
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |