FA Cup . Previa 3
Global 3-5
Hendon vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
HEN
6 - 0
HAR
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 1
HEN
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
HEN
1 - 0
HAR
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
HEN
3 - 0
ENF
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +3 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
TON
1 - 0
HEN
50%
22%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
STA
0 - 5
WIN
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NEE
0 - 1
WIN
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 3
HAR
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MER
4 - 1
WIN
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |