Hendon vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
POO
1 - 0
HEN
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
HEN
4 - 0
HAR
42%
24%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HEN
1 - 1
HAY
18%
21%
61%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
HEN
0 - 1
MAI
31%
23%
47%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
WAL
1 - 3
HEN
26%
22%
53%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FAR
4 - 1
BEA
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
TIV
3 - 1
FAR
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 1
TAU
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
WIM
2 - 1
FAR
39%
23%
39%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 1
TON
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |