Heist vs Antwerp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
10º
9º
37
8º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 56 |
3º
|
64.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 49 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 48 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 47 |
11º
|
51.5% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 43 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 42 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
37 | 38 |
15º
|
87% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
53% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
50.5% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
OHL
1 - 2
HEI
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HEI
1 - 2
KSC
34%
25%
42%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HEI
0 - 2
LOU
22%
23%
54%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIS
1 - 2
HEI
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HEI
3 - 0
RCS
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Antwerp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RAF
0 - 1
KSC
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIS
2 - 0
RAF
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 1
TIE
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 1
RAF
70%
18%
11%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RAF
2 - 0
KAA
24%
25%
51%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |