Hednesford Town vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
HED
1 - 2
CRA
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
HED
2 - 1
COL
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 3
HED
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
STA
0 - 2
HED
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
WOR
2 - 2
HED
19%
23%
59%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SOL
1 - 1
WOR
65%
21%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
WOR
4 - 2
GAI
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
TOW
3 - 0
WOR
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
WOR
2 - 2
HED
19%
23%
59%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 4
WOR
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |