Hednesford Town vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
49.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
HED
1 - 0
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
HEA
0 - 3
HED
8%
14%
78%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 4
HED
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
HED
2 - 3
TAM
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BIG
0 - 2
HED
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 1
KID
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
KID
1 - 2
BOS
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
KID
1 - 0
DAR
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
LEA
2 - 0
KID
21%
26%
53%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
KID
3 - 0
GUI
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |