Hednesford Town vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
HED
2 - 1
COL
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 3
HED
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
STA
0 - 2
HED
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
WOR
2 - 2
HED
19%
23%
59%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
WES
2 - 2
HED
22%
22%
56%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
BRI
2 - 0
CRA
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 1
BRE
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
STE
2 - 0
CRA
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 3
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 0
BRA
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |