Hebros vs Zagorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
52.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SVI
2 - 0
HEB
84%
12%
5%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
HEB
1 - 3
NES
11%
20%
69%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 0
HEB
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
HEB
0 - 2
SPA
18%
25%
57%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FKH
3 - 0
HEB
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Zagorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ZAG
2 - 0
DIM
37%
26%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ROZ
1 - 0
ZAG
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ZAG
1 - 1
TUN
37%
25%
39%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GIG
2 - 1
ZAG
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ZAG
1 - 0
VER
19%
25%
56%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |