HEBC Hamburg vs Hamburger SV III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
9º
18º
9º
31
10º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HEBC Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 1
PAL
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAS
1 - 0
HEB
83%
10%
6%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
HEB
3 - 1
WIL
47%
21%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HEB
2 - 0
HAM
70%
17%
14%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
OSD
1 - 1
HEB
46%
21%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 4
SUD
38%
21%
41%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RUG
2 - 2
HAM
45%
21%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
3 - 1
VHG
22%
19%
59%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
WAN
3 - 0
HAM
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
EIM
2 - 1
HAM
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |