Hawkes Bay United vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
50.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
WEL
3 - 0
HAW
60%
19%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
HAW
0 - 3
CAN
43%
23%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
AUC
2 - 1
HAW
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
TEA
2 - 1
HAW
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
HAW
0 - 3
HAW
68%
17%
14%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
WAI
1 - 1
HAW
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 2
WAI
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
WAI
2 - 2
TEA
26%
23%
51%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
WAI
1 - 4
WEL
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CAN
0 - 4
WAI
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |