Haverfordwest County vs Port Talbot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RHY
1 - 2
HAV
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HAV
2 - 0
LLA
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 4
HAV
42%
23%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
HAV
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
NEW
3 - 0
HAV
73%
17%
11%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 1
POR
64%
20%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
POR
4 - 2
ABE
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 2
POR
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
BAL
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |