Havelse vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havelse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
HAN
3 - 1
HAV
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
HAV
1 - 0
EIB
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
TUR
1 - 4
HAV
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 1
HAV
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LUB
1 - 0
HAV
70%
19%
12%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
HOL
0 - 2
CHE
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
HAL
0 - 3
HOL
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 1
WOL
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 0
MEU
65%
22%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
HOL
0 - 1
MAG
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |