Hartley Wintney vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
HAN
3 - 5
HAR
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
CHE
0 - 0
HAR
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
HAR
5 - 0
ERI
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
WAL
1 - 1
HAR
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 0
HAM
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 0
BEA
80%
13%
8%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
BEA
0 - 2
GOS
32%
25%
44%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
BEA
0 - 2
HAR
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BEA
1 - 2
POO
32%
24%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
POO
3 - 1
BEA
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |