Harrow Borough vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
CHM
3 - 0
HAR
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
EAS
3 - 2
HAR
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
HAR
0 - 0
RED
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2005 |
STA
0 - 1
HAR
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
HAR
5 - 0
FOL
47%
24%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
WOR
4 - 1
HEY
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
WOR
1 - 0
FOL
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
STA
0 - 1
WOR
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
EAS
5 - 1
WOR
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2005 |
WOR
4 - 2
SLO
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |