Hamilton Academical vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 0
CWB
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
0 - 0
HAM
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 2
HAM
50%
25%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
KIL
0 - 1
HAM
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
HAM
2 - 0
QOS
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 1
STJ
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
STJ
1 - 2
HIB
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ABE
0 - 0
STJ
37%
30%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DUN
4 - 0
STJ
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
STJ
4 - 0
ROS
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |