Hamburger SV vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1995 |
MON
1 - 2
HSV
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1995 |
HSV
2 - 2
BVB
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1995 |
LEV
0 - 1
HSV
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
HSV
1 - 0
KAI
28%
25%
46%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
SCF
0 - 3
HSV
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1995 |
STP
2 - 1
F95
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
S04
2 - 0
STP
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1995 |
STP
3 - 3
KOL
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
BRE
1 - 1
STP
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
STP
0 - 1
BYM
21%
23%
56%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |