Europa League . 1/32
Global 2-2
Hamburger SV vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
HSV
3 - 0
HAN
71%
16%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
S04
1 - 0
HSV
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
SPA
2 - 0
HSV
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
HSV
2 - 0
STU
59%
20%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
BYM
2 - 0
HSV
66%
19%
16%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
HER
0 - 0
SPA
43%
25%
31%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
SPA
1 - 3
VVV
80%
13%
7%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
SPA
2 - 0
HSV
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
GRO
2 - 2
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
SPA
1 - 1
PSV
30%
25%
46%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |