Hamburger SV vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
4º
49
6º
18º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
63 | 67 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
2º
|
61% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
86% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 52 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
|
7º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
41% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 39 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
52% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
15º
|
44.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
16º
|
76.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
92% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 26 |
18º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
HER
3 - 3
HSV
35%
23%
42%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
STP
2 - 2
HSV
35%
25%
41%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
HSV
2 - 1
EBT
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HOL
4 - 2
HSV
27%
23%
51%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HSV
2 - 0
MAG
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
LEV
3 - 1
PAD
80%
13%
7%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 0
HAN
48%
24%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ELV
4 - 1
PAD
31%
24%
46%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 3
FCN
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
KSC
0 - 3
PAD
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |