Hamburger SV vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
VFF
5 - 4
HSV
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
F95
1 - 1
HSV
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
FCN
2 - 1
HSV
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
HSV
2 - 2
KSC
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
HSV
2 - 3
BRE
37%
24%
39%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SSV
1 - 0
PAD
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 1
F95
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
HOL
3 - 4
PAD
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
PAD
3 - 3
ERZ
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
S04
2 - 0
PAD
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |