Non League Div One Northern Midlands. Jor. 27

Halesowen Town vs Spalding United analysis

Halesowen Town Spalding United
37 ELO 36
-3.5% Tilt 2.9%
6025º General ELO ranking 4817º
286º Country ELO ranking 206º
ELO win probability
44.5%
Halesowen Town
24.4%
Draw
31%
Spalding United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
Halesowen Town
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31%
Win probability
Spalding United
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Halesowen Town
-3%
+49%
Spalding United

Points and table prediction

Halesowen Town
Their league position
Spalding United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
75
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stamford
86
87
100%
Halesowen Town
77
78
100%
Spalding United
75
75
100%
Sporting Khalsa
67
70
100%
Chasetown
65
68
34.5%
Coleshill Town FC
66
67
14.5%
Harborough Town
64
67
38%
Boldmere St. Michaels
64
65
17%
Corby Town
64
65
41.5%
Shepshed
10º
51
52
10º
30.5%
Loughborough Dynamo FC
11º
49
52
11º
30.5%
Sutton Coldfield Town
12º
47
48
12º
100%
Cambridge City
13º
44
44
13º
71%
Hinckley LR
14º
41
42
14º
34%
Bedworth United
15º
39
42
15º
31.5%
Gresley
16º
38
41
16º
46.5%
Dereham Town
17º
35
35
17º
100%
St. Neots Town
18º
32
32
18º
100%
Daventry Town
19º
24
24
19º
100%
Yaxley FC
20º
6
6
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Halesowen Town
Spalding United
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Halesowen Town
Spalding United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Halesowen Town
Halesowen Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2023
CAM
Cambridge City
1 - 2
Halesowen Town
HAL
22%
21%
57%
35 24 11 0
14 Jan. 2023
HAL
Halesowen Town
3 - 0
Gresley
GRE
68%
18%
14%
34 24 10 +1
07 Jan. 2023
BED
Bedworth United
1 - 1
Halesowen Town
HAL
19%
21%
60%
34 24 10 0
02 Jan. 2023
HAL
Halesowen Town
2 - 2
Sporting Khalsa
SPO
54%
21%
26%
34 31 3 0
26 Dec. 2022
SUT
Sutton Coldfield Town
1 - 1
Halesowen Town
HAL
17%
20%
63%
35 22 13 -1

Matches

Spalding United
Spalding United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2023
SPA
Spalding United
1 - 0
Sutton Coldfield Town
SUT
75%
16%
9%
38 21 17 0
07 Jan. 2023
SPA
Spalding United
0 - 2
Cambridge City
CAM
76%
16%
8%
38 21 17 0
02 Jan. 2023
YAX
Yaxley FC
0 - 1
Spalding United
SPA
9%
18%
74%
38 7 31 0
26 Dec. 2022
SPA
Spalding United
3 - 2
Stamford
STA
29%
26%
46%
37 41 4 +1
03 Dec. 2022
SUT
Sutton Coldfield Town
0 - 1
Spalding United
SPA
23%
24%
53%
36 23 13 +1
X